The final forecast can be adjusted based on the latest received production values using a real time correction what works in the same way as for the Aiolos and Cilia models. In similarity with the Cilia and
•Aiolos models the “Use correction” must be checked and “Adjust period” must be set to a value between 1 and 23 to perform the real time correction.
•The forecast period must include a time for when historical data is available.
The forecast will coincide with the measured load for the hours for which load data is available, and after that the forecast will undergo linear approximation to the unadjusted Achelous model forecast.
When analysing different model settings and running your forecasts on historical data you may want to compare a forecast that does not real time correct using data after the forecast start (as e.g. an alternative model). To ensure the model not to use values after the forecast start, “Quarantine (h)” must be greater than zero.
