For the models Aiolos 2.0, Cilia 2.0, Auxiliary – A, Auxiliary – C, Zephyros, Achelous and Delphi, the real time corrections are applied even if the forecast period stats after the end of outcome data. In order to get a realistic simulation for these models, the forecast series data must be restricted as below
This setting means that each hour there is an import and the data ends exactly at the time for the import. With the temporal filter settings as below, we want to do a two hours ahead evaluation, that is, we want to evaluate one hour at a time. For example, if the first hour evaluated is 2016-06-01 00-01, the forecast is assumed to be done 2016-05-31 22:20 and the latest import at that time were made at 22:00 with data ending at 22:00.
The models listed above extends the forecast period to start at 21:00 so that the virtual forecast period will be 2016-05-31 21:00 – 2016-06-01 01:00 in order to get the real time correction to work. From this longer forecast, the last hour 00-01 is extracted and pasted into the resulting time series.